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Sweden might have enjoyed (at least a bit) more success as a colonial empire, whether in the present-day Delaware Bay area or elsewhere in the New World, had it managed to hold on as an empire containing a good deal more territory than present-day Sweden. In that sort of timeline, in which the Swedish Empire doesn't ultimately get defeated by Russia, Sweden might compete at least with the Dutch, though not necessarily with the British, French, Spanish, or Portuguese.

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